Hodlnaut Newsletter — November 2019
Bitcoin Halving
Bitcoin is expected to halve in supply production in about 170 days.
This Bitcoin block reward is a BTC amount that is earned by the miners for a successful block and is decided by the algorithm that governs Bitcoin. The algorithm dictates that for every 210,000 Blocks, the reward should halve. The implications of this are that the supply of new Bitcoin being produced will be halved from this event. The time of the halving cannot be known exactly because it happens after a given number of blocks and not at a certain time. There are variations in time taken to mine a block, so it might happen slightly earlier or later.
Halving’s Impact on Bitcoin Price
Pseudonymous trader Plan B has gone a step further and used the stock-to-flow (S2F) ratio — which divides current inventory by annual production — to create a model that retroactively predicts past price movements for bitcoin with a high degree of accuracy, using gold and silver as benchmarks. This model predicts a bitcoin price of almost US $60,000 after the next halving (the black line in the chart above).
Link to model: https://medium.com/@100trillionUSD/modeling-bitcoins-value-with-scarcity-91fa0fc03e25
At the time of writing, BTC was priced at approximately US$7,525.This is a 45% fall from 2019’s all-time high.
Please do your own research, the above model is not advice and we would encourage our clients to seek proper advice before doing any trade or deploying any leverage.
HODL-ing still seems to be the best solution at the moment.
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Regards,
The Hodlnaut Team
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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only, and is not an offer nor a solicitation to invest in DPT, securities, funds, partnership interests or other investments or funding or purchasing loans. It is the user's sole responsibility to conduct due diligence and research extensively into each DPT and platform, and understand that the volatility and unpredictability of the price of DPT may result in significant loss over a short period of time. No information on Hodlnaut should be considered to be business, legal, financial or tax advice regarding the use of Hodlnaut. Users should consult their own legal, financial, tax or other professional advisors before using Hodlnaut.
